Thursday, April 30, 2020

Director Lisa Gottlieb Talks ‘Just One Of The Guys’ At 35

The teen comedy grossed $11.53 million at the box office, but its impact continues decades after it left the big screen.

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Elder Financial Abuse: A 7 Step Checklist To Protect Our Seniors

Protecting our seniors from financial abuse requires implementing a system of checks and balances. Therefore, utilizing several financial planning strategies as part of an overall retirement plan is the best approach.

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10 Cookbooks (Plus 2 Cocktail Books) To See You Through Quarantine Season

These superb cookery books—some classic, some new—will help you expand your repertoire during these uncertain times, whether you’re a beginner or a seasoned home cook.

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Radiohead’s Thom Yorke Debuts Haunting New Song ‘Plasticine Figures’ On ‘Fallon’

The sparse track upcycles the artificial imagery of “Fake Plastic Trees.”

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As Apple’s iPhone Sales Slip Services And Wearables Shine

Apple managed to report better than expected results for its fiscal second quarter, on strong growth from its services and wearable units.

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OK, Boomer: How An Aging Population Is Going To Impact Real Estate Technology

The newest wave of aging Americans is entirely different than the seniors that preceded them. Explore how their desire for autonomy, preference for cities, and increasing wealth are going to reshape real estate for all of us.

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COVID-19 And The Future Of Development And Commuting In Los Angeles

Will fear of exposure to COVID-19 coupled with social distancing guidelines solidify the automobile’s dominance in Los Angeles?

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Samsung Suddenly Confirms Radical New Galaxy Smartphones

Samsung has suddenly confirmed its most exciting Galaxy smartphones of the year...

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iPhone 12 Shock: Apple’s Price Changes Revealed

Apple's most exciting iPhone 12 change is a shock...

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Senate Democrat says Republican leader's plan to resume work puts lives in danger

Senate Democrat says Republican leader's plan to resume work puts lives in dangerA U.S. Senate Democrat on Wednesday accused Republican Majority Leader Mitch McConnell of endangering the lives of Senate staff if he brings them back to work next week without effective safeguards against coronavirus infection in place. Senator Chris Van Hollen, whose state of Maryland contains several suburbs of Washington where federal workers live, said he had written to McConnell to demand details of how staff will be protected when the Senate returns to session on Monday. "I am ready to see senators resume work in the Capitol, but without effective safeguards in place, Mitch McConnell is endangering the lives of the staff who work there – including many of my constituents – and undermining regional efforts to prevent the spread of the coronavirus," Van Hollen said in a statement.




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One dead, five missing after Canadian helicopter goes missing during NATO exercise

One dead, five missing after Canadian helicopter goes missing during NATO exerciseCanadian prime Minister Jusin Trudeau has confirmed that one man has died and five others are missing after a Canadian military helicopter went missing during a NATO operation. Debris and the aircraft's black box have been found in the sea between Greece and Italy, a Greek military officer and public television said Thursday. Canada's armed forces said the helicopter had been involved in an accident after taking off from the Canadian frigate Fredericton on Wednesday. "Debris has been found in Italy's zone of control and intervention" in the Ionian Sea, the Greek military officer told AFP, specifying the wreckage belonged to the Canadian helicopter. Six crew were aboard the helicopter when it disappeared, the officer said on condition of anonymity. Greek public television reported that a body had been found amid the wreckage in international waters off the Greek island of Kefalonia. Greek public television ERT said Italian and NATO vessels were also taking part in the search while Turkey said one of its frigates was also involved. Canada said on Twitter that it contacted the family members of those who were on board the missing CH-148 Cyclone helicopter.




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Philippines rejects China's territorial label on island

Philippines rejects China's territorial label on islandThe Philippines protested on Thursday China’s designation of a disputed South China Sea reef, which it has turned into a heavily fortified island base, as a Chinese “administrative center.” The Department of Foreign Affairs issued a statement objecting to what it called China’s “illegal designation” of Fiery Cross Reef as a regional administrative center in the hotly contested Spratly archipelago. U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo accused China last week of taking advantage of widespread distraction over the pandemic to advance its territorial claims.




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‘Women’s Groups’ Sat on Letter Urging Biden to Address Reade Allegation after Campaign Intervened

‘Women’s Groups’ Sat on Letter Urging Biden to Address Reade Allegation after Campaign IntervenedA coalition of national women's advocacy groups drafted a letter urging Joe Biden to address sexual-assault claims by former staffer Tara Reade, but decided against releasing the letter publicly after the Biden campaign learned of the efforts, the New York Times reported on Wednesday.Instead, the unspecified groups decided to work with Biden advisers to try to pressure the campaign to address the allegations before the end of April, which is designated Sexual Assault Awareness Month.“Vice President Biden has the opportunity, right now, to model how to take serious allegations seriously,” the letter read. “The weight of our expectations matches the magnitude of the office he seeks.”As of April 30, a campaign spokesman has denied the allegations but Biden himself has not spoken about them on the record. The campaign circulated talking points to surrogates advising them to say the alleged incident with Reade “did not happen,” BuzzFeed reported on Tuesday.“It’s difficult for survivors to see that a woman who has more corroborating sources than most survivors have in similar situations is being tossed aside and actively being weaponized by cynical political actors,” Shaunna Thomas, a founder of women's rights advocacy group UltraViolet, which is involved in discussions with the Biden campaign regarding Reade's allegations, told the Times.The Times itself edited a story on Reade's allegation after the campaign complained. Initially, the report included the sentence, “The Times found no pattern of sexual misconduct by Mr. Biden, beyond the hugs, kisses and touching that women previously said made them uncomfortable.” The paper subsequently deleted the second half of the sentence.“Even though a lot of us, including me, had looked at it before the story went into the paper, I think that the campaign thought that the phrasing was awkward and made it look like there were other instances in which he had been accused of sexual misconduct, and that’s not what the sentence was intended to say,” Times executive editor Dean Baquet said.As media attention has become more focused on Reade, calls have grown over the past week to release Biden's Senate archive, currently held at the University of Delaware, which may offer new details that shed light on the allegations. Seven members of the university's Board of Trustees, including its chairman, have donated to the Biden campaign and affiliated PAC's.




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A NYC coronavirus patient died after inexperienced medical residents set her ventilator too high and it stopped her heart

A NYC coronavirus patient died after inexperienced medical residents set her ventilator too high and it stopped her heartThe incident happened at Montefiore hospital in the Bronx in March, the Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday.




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Satellite images reveal Kim Jong-un may be at luxury family villa

Satellite images reveal Kim Jong-un may be at luxury family villaNew satellite images showing the recent movements of luxury boats by Kim Jong-un, the North Korean leader, have provided further indications that he may be ensconced in his seaside villa in Wonsan, on the country’s east coast. The location of the reclusive leader has been a mystery since his unprecedented no-show at April 15 events to mark the birthday of his late grandfather and North Korea’s founder, Kim Il Sung. His absence, for the first time since he took power in 2011, unleashed a torrent of speculation about his health conditions, with unverified and conflicting reports claiming he was both recuperating from cardiovascular surgery and in “grave danger.” On Tuesday, commercial satellite imagery obtained by North Korea-monitoring website NK PRO showed boats often used by Kim had made movements in patterns that suggested he or his entourage may be in the Wonsan area. “Extensive analysis shows that similar leisure boat movements at an exclusive villa in Wonsan and a nearby island near the Kalma peninsula have aligned with Kim’s public appearances in the area in every one of a half-dozen instances since last summer, and many more dating back to 2013,” it said. The imagery adds to earlier satellite pictures studied by the Washington-based North Korea monitoring project 38 North, which appeared to show that a train similar to Kim’s was parked in the resort’s so-called “leadership station” reserved for the use of the Kim family a week ago.




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Pompeo criticizes S.Africa, Qatar for taking Cuban doctors

Pompeo criticizes S.Africa, Qatar for taking Cuban doctorsUS Secretary of State Mike Pompeo on Wednesday criticized South Africa and Qatar for accepting doctors from Cuba to battle the coronavirus, accusing the communist island of profiting from the pandemic. Cuba's globe-trotting doctors have long been a source of diplomatic soft power and pride for Havana, but Washington says the medical workers only benefit the government and has encouraged them to defect. "We've noticed how the regime in Havana has taken advantage of the COVID-19 pandemic to continue its exploitation of Cuban medical workers," Pompeo told reporters.




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Most of U.S. House urges more diplomacy at U.N. to renew Iran arms embargo: sources

Most of U.S. House urges more diplomacy at U.N. to renew Iran arms embargo: sourcesNearly 90% of U.S. House of Representatives members have signed a letter urging the Trump administration to increase its diplomatic action at the United Nations to renew an arms embargo on Iran, congressional sources said on Thursday. In a rare show of bipartisanship, at least 382 of the 429 members of the Democratic-controlled House - Democrats and Republicans - have signed the letter to Secretary of State Mike Pompeo urging him to work with U.S. allies and partners to extend the embargo, as well as U.N. travel restrictions on Iranians involved with arms proliferation. "The U.N. arms embargo is set to expire in October, and we are concerned that the ban's expiration will lead to more states buying and selling weapons to and from Iran," said the letter, seen by Reuters and led by Representatives Eliot Engel, chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, and Mike McCaul, the committee's top Republican.




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80,000 cruise workers are still stuck aboard ships in US waters. Staff members say it's 'embarrassing' they're not allowed to disembark.

80,000 cruise workers are still stuck aboard ships in US waters. Staff members say it's 'embarrassing' they're not allowed to disembark.Up to 80,000 crew members are stuck on 120 cruise ships on US waters, and it's unclear when they'll touch land again.




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Roger Stone bought more than 200 fake Facebook accounts, which he used to run ads defending Roger Stone

Roger Stone bought more than 200 fake Facebook accounts, which he used to run ads defending Roger StoneStone, a longtime friend to Donald Trump, ran a sprawling network of fake Facebook accounts starting in 2016, according to newly unsealed FBI records.




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30 Easy Side Dishes For Lasagna



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2 men detained in burning deaths of transgender women

2 men detained in burning deaths of transgender womenOne of the men admitted to the double killings, saying it was done for "reasons of revenge."




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FDA reportedly plans to authorize emergency use of largely untested drug to treat coronavirus

FDA reportedly plans to authorize emergency use of largely untested drug to treat coronavirusThe Food and Drug Administration will authorize the emergency use of the antiviral remdesivir on COVID-19 patients as soon as Wednesday, a senior administration official told The New York Times. Pharmaceutical company Gilead Sciences revealed promising study results involving remdesivir on Wednesday, but the FDA's reported move would still sidestep the usual testing required to authorize a drug's usage.Gilead said Wednesday that its own trial, as well one overseen by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, met its goals. Of the study's 397 severe COVID-19 patients, at least 50 percent of patients treated with a 5-day dosage of remdesivir improved and more than half were discharged from the hospital within two weeks. The overall mortality rate of the study was 7 percent, and relatively few patients developed bad side effects. But the study wasn't evaluated against a control group, and it's unclear if those recoveries were natural or if remdesivir actually had something to do with them. Hard data from the study also hasn't been released yet.Anecdotal reports, including two published in The New England Journal of Medicine, provided more credibility for remdesivir in the coronavirus fight. But they also didn't compared the drug against a placebo. A study published in The Lancet concluded remdesivir was "safe and adequately tolerated" but "did not provide significant benefits over placebo."More stories from theweek.com Trump's 'mission accomplished' moment Gun-toting protesters' dramatic stand inside Michigan's statehouse, in 5 photos and videos The Justice Department is apparently working with conservative Christian groups to fight COVID-19 policies




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Satellite images of luxury boats further suggest North Korea's Kim at favoured villa: experts

Satellite images of luxury boats further suggest North Korea's Kim at favoured villa: expertsSatellite imagery showing recent movements of luxury boats often used by North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and his entourage near Wonsan provide further indications he has been at the coastal resort, according to experts who monitor the reclusive regime. Speculation about Kim's health and location erupted after his unprecedented absence from April 15 celebrations to mark the birthday of his late grandfather and North Korea's founder, Kim Il Sung. On Tuesday, North Korea-monitoring website NK PRO reported commercial satellite imagery showed boats often used by Kim had made movements in patterns that suggested he or his entourage may be in the Wonsan area.




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Wednesday, April 29, 2020

Mexican farmers give away tomatoes as demand squashed by coronavirus



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Hall of Fame postpones July induction ceremony a year due to COVID-19



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Bad and going viral: UK charity highlights COVID-19 misinformation



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The Best Women’s Trench Coats To Shop Right Now

Here are some stylish trench coats for all budgets and looks.

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COVID-19 Lockdown: When Will This Feeling End? How To Manage Through Uncertainty.

Life under lockdown can feel like being adrift on the Atlantic: we’re desperate for any sign of land, yet nothing but an ominous, uncomfortable vastness looms.

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With IOS 13.5 Public Beta 2, Face ID Can Recognize When You're Wearing A Mask

The Contact Tracing API also makes its debut and screws up the numbering for the Public Beta cycle.

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4 Things To Consider Before You Do The Australian Working Holiday Visa

It’s never too early to start planning your next great adventure, despite the fact that it might be a year or two before you can do it. Here are some important things to think about if you’re planning to apply for the Australian Working Holiday Visa once it’s safe to travel again.

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Critically Acclaimed Latino Dramedy 'Vida' Kicks Off Final Season On STARZ

The series, which stars and is produced and written by Latinos, concludes after three seasons.

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This Business Is About Getting To Point B In The Only Way Possible

First, there’s general aviation — small private aircraft — then there are seaplanes, and then there’s another smaller niche, which is experimental aircraft.

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This Engineer’s Passion For Healthy Hair Sparked A Million-Dollar, One-Person Business

Elizabeth Davis turned her kitchen-table experiments into the fast-growing luxury brand Shedavi.

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Snoop Dogg Is Releasing His Own Wine This Summer

When you hit the wine store this summer there will be a new options on the shelf for you to try: Snoop Cali Red.

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Hold The Applause For The Rising Market: Earnings Still Stink

While optimism about the virus and the shutdown have lifted the stock market, earnings are what really matter. And they are not looking good at all.

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US 'hasn't seen' North Korean leader Kim Jong-un recently, Mike Pompeo

US 'hasn't seen' North Korean leader Kim Jong-un recently, Mike PompeoThe US secretary of state's comments come after speculation the North Korean leader might be ill.




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New York City Mayor de Blasio singles out the city's Jewish community for flouting coronavirus rules and said cops will start arresting people gathered in large groups

New York City Mayor de Blasio singles out the city's Jewish community for flouting coronavirus rules and said cops will start arresting people gathered in large groupsThough some members of the Hasidic community have disregarded lockdown rules, New York's large Jewish population has followed coronavirus measures.




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The US is 'slightly' past its first peak, but expert says the pandemic is far from over

The US is 'slightly' past its first peak, but expert says the pandemic is far from overDr. Tom Inglesby said some states are experiencing a decline in cases, while half of the country is still seeing a rise in daily numbers.




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Biden already working with team on transition planning

Biden already working with team on transition planningFormer Vice President Joe Biden is already working with a team to plan for his transition in preparation for winning the White House in November, he told donors during a virtual fundraiser Monday night. Biden said he has been meeting with former Delaware Sen. Ted Kaufman, his longtime top aide who was appointed to fill Biden’s Senate seat when he was elected vice president, to discuss his transition plans. Kaufman worked on Barack Obama's transition team in 2008, and helped author legislation formalizing the presidential transition process.




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'A drug can block this virus': Fauci hails Covid-19 treatment breakthrough

'A drug can block this virus': Fauci hails Covid-19 treatment breakthroughPositive data from the NIAID trial would be a landmark in the race to find a coronavirus treatment.




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Religious freedom watchdog pitches adding India to blacklist

Religious freedom watchdog pitches adding India to blacklistThe U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom is urging that the State Department add India to its list of nations with uniquely poor records on protecting freedom to worship — while proposing to remove Sudan and Uzbekistan from that list. The bipartisan commission, created in 1998 by Congress to make policy recommendations about global religious freedom, proposed designating India as a “country of particular concern” in the annual report it released Tuesday. President Donald Trump declined to criticize the citizenship measure during his February visit to India, where his meeting with Prime Minister Narendra Modi was punctuated by skirmishes between Hindus and Muslims.




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Inmate who gave birth on ventilator dies of Covid-19

Inmate who gave birth on ventilator dies of Covid-19The 30-year-old appears to be the the first US federal female prisoner to die from coronavirus.




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6 monkeys given an experimental coronavirus vaccine from Oxford did not catch COVID-19 after heavy exposure, raising hopes for a human vaccine

6 monkeys given an experimental coronavirus vaccine from Oxford did not catch COVID-19 after heavy exposure, raising hopes for a human vaccineA team from the University of Oxford is leading the way in the search for an effective vaccine for the coronavirus. Human trials started last week.




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Costco to require face coverings for shoppers

Costco to require face coverings for shoppersStarting Monday, customers will be required to wear masks covering their nose and mouth at all times while inside the store.




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South Korea minister, U.S. sources, say Kim may be sheltering from virus

South Korea minister, U.S. sources, say Kim may be sheltering from virusFear of the coronavirus could have been keeping North Korean leader Kim Jong Un out of public sight, a South Korean minister and U.S. sources said on Tuesday, following intense speculation and concern as to his whereabouts and health. Under Kim's rule since 2011, North Korea has expanded its arsenal of nuclear weapons and long-range missiles, and with no obvious successor, any change in leadership in the secretive, authoritarian state would raise concerns about instability that could impact other North Asian countries and the United States. Speculation about Kim's health erupted after his unprecedented absence from April 15 celebrations to mark the birthday of his late grandfather and North Korea's founder, Kim Il Sung.




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New Model Shows How Deadly Lifting Georgia’s Lockdown May Be

New Model Shows How Deadly Lifting Georgia’s Lockdown May BeGov. Brian Kemp’s aggressive scheme to lift Georgia out of COVID-19 lockdown may cost many thousands of lives, according to models prepared by epidemiologists and computer scientists at Harvard and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in partnership with The Daily Beast.The findings come as governors across the United States aim to restore economic activity following months of pandemic-related infections and over 50,000 deaths—a number widely understood to be an undercount. Meanwhile, over 26 million Americans have filed for unemployment benefits in recent weeks, a number that is itself a likely undercount of the economic toll.Georgia’s Kemp has perhaps been the boldest of any governor about moving on, issuing a pair of executive orders allowing fitness centers, tattoo and massage parlors, bowling alleys, and hair salons to reopen last Friday with some mitigation measures. Other businesses, like restaurants and theaters, began opening Monday. The state’s shelter-in-place decree, meanwhile, was slated to expire on Thursday.Those policies are placing Georgians at spectacular risk, the new models found. ‘Dying to Bowl’: Georgia Flirts With Disaster as Lockdown EasesAs of Friday, by official counts in Georgia, at least 871 people statewide had lost their lives to COVID-19. If Georgia had maintained its pre-Friday lockdown policy, the Harvard/MIT team’s simulation—which used data from the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center and accounts for local demographics and health conditions based on Census and survey data—estimated the state would have logged a total of between 1,004 and 2,922 coronavirus fatalities by June 15. That fatality range, like all such ranges detailed in this article, includes deaths that had already been documented (in this case, 871).By contrast, under Kemp’s current plan to reopen, if approved businesses returned to just 50 percent of their pre-pandemic activity (or “contact”) levels, that range could reach 1,604 to 4,236 deaths. At 100 percent of pre-shutdown activity, the projected final body count could soar to a range between 4,279 and 9,748.Even if employee-on-employee contact returned to just one-quarter of what it was before the disease hit, and interactions among the general public—beginning April 30—reached 20 percent of the old norm, the researchers projected that deaths in the state could hit 3,563.“What we find, no matter what we assume, is that reopening on Monday was just too early,” said Jackson Killian, Ph.D. student at Harvard’s John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, who worked on the models. “If you let people go out and have contact again now, you end up causing deaths that could have been avoided.”Based on the nature and speed of COVID-19’s spread through Georgia, Killian and his team estimated the virus may have arrived in the state as early as Feb. 1, or at least weeks before the first diagnosed cases—a possibility Kemp himself has acknowledged. To be clear, the models cannot prove or verify that the first infection happened on that date, but used it as an assumed start date based on the available information and the spread to date. The governor’s office did not respond to repeated requests for comment for this story.For their part, the team behind the models framed their approach not as an argument for absolutes, but a testament to dire stakes. “The stay-at-home orders cannot go on indefinitely,” said Maimuna Majumder, faculty member at the Computational Health Informatics Program and Harvard Medical School who led the creation of the models in partnership with Milind Tambe, a professor of computer science and director of Harvard’s Center for Research on Computation and Society. Instead, she emphasized the need for a “new normal [that] still allows people to go back to work” and that acknowledges “each of us can make a difference by physically distancing ourselves at, for example, grocery stores.”Turgay Ayer, an associate professor at Georgia Institute of Technology’s School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, recently released a state-by-state COVID-19 simulator with colleagues at Harvard and researchers at Massachusetts General Hospital that he said found results “in line” with the estimations from the Harvard- MIT group.Ayer’s simulator showed that—under minimal restrictions, with no other interventions—there could be up to 20,000 deaths by Aug. 30 in Georgia, but he noted that was a worst-case scenario he didn’t expect to see. That’s because he believes politicians like Kemp will reimplement some restrictions once a resurgence of infections appears.“Once we start to see a second spike in infections in late July and early August, the policymakers will put some of these social distancing measurements back in place,” said Ayer. But the numbers do show one thing very clearly, he said: “If you lift the restriction too soon, a second wave will come, and the damage will be substantial both medically and economically. We don’t want to throw away the sacrifices we have made for weeks now.”The Harvard and MIT modelers working with The Daily Beast also looked at two neighboring states that, like Georgia, were hesitant to implement shutdowns in the first place, and are now mulling their own reopening plans: Florida and Mississippi. The results were similarly alarming.To be sure, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and Mississippi Gov. Tate Reeves have been more cautious than Kemp. DeSantis has, so far, mostly kept his state’s social distancing measures in place, while allowing localities to reopen beaches. He has also convened a Re-Open Florida Task Force to present a program for resuscitating commerce in the Sunshine State. The shelter-in-place order in Florida, like that in its neighbor to the north, was scheduled to sunset at month’s end. As of Friday, 987 Florida residents had been identified by the state as having died from COVID-19. Should DeSantis back off plans to reopen businesses and renew his stay-at-home decree through June 15, the Harvard/MIT/Daily Beast model projected his state would witness a total number of deaths as small as 988 or as large as 3,014 due to the virus.But if DeSantis had implemented Kemp’s aggressive reopening policies in recent days, the loss of life might have escalated to a range of 1,273 to 4,106 fatalities in the lowest-contact scenario, or even as high as 15,523 deaths if businesses returned to their pre-COVID-19 levels. DeSantis’ office did not reply to repeated inquiries from The Daily Beast.Reeves, meanwhile, appears to be plotting a course between Kemp’s attempted renaissance and a more prolonged shutdown. The Mississippi governor inked a decree on April 24—by which point 201 of his constituents had been identified as having died of COVID-19-related causes—that will keep the state’s gyms, salons, and theaters mostly closed and continue to limit eateries to take-out and delivery. But it will enable other retail stores to reopen at 50 percent capacity and for elective surgeries to resume. This fiat superseded an earlier shelter-in-place order with a looser “safer at home” policy, which is scheduled to remain in effect through May 11. The group from Harvard and MIT did not have the opportunity to model that new agenda in their simulation.Still, the team determined that had Reeves left his old order in place he could have contained the death toll to a range between 213 and 640 by June 15. Were he instead to have followed Kemp’s lead, the range of deaths might have spiked to between 1,865 to 3,463, assuming Mississippi businesses and patrons returned to their pre-pandemic habits.“There is no higher priority for Governor Reeves than ensuring the health and well-being of all Mississippians,” said a spokeswoman for his office, Renae Eze, noting the virus’ present impact on the state has been substantially less severe than the worst projections. “Thanks to the strategy executed by the governor and our state health officials, our testing is robust, our numbers are low, and our curve is flattening.”Regardless of how credible claims of flattening curves may be when testing remains so scant, the analysis performed by the Harvard and MIT team showed these same governors could have saved many of their constituents had they ordered social distancing sooner. Had Kemp instated his shelter-in-place order on March 23 (when New York City instituted its policy) instead of the date he actually did—April 3—the analysis found his state could have seen as few as 148 COVID-19 deaths by April 24 and possibly no more than 427, far lower than the actual documented count of 871.Likewise, the simulation projected that had DeSantis locked down Florida on March 23 instead of April 3, the tally of fatalities in his state on Friday could have fallen to somewhere between 103 and 376, rather than the actual total of 987. If Reeves had acted on the earlier date, only 36 to 111 Mississippians might have died because of the virus as of April 24, instead of 201.Of course, the Harvard and MIT models—like all such models—has critics. Dr. Jeffrey Klausner, an adjunct professor of epidemiology at the University of California Los Angeles who previously worked for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, acknowledged the analysis and similar simulations “can help policy-makers frame a response.” But he argued such projections “overinterpret the benefit of stay-at-home orders” and underestimate the impact of other factors that go into determining the infection’s reproduction number.“It’s very difficult to input the right assumptions to get a useful outcome,” added Dr. Irwin Redlener, director of the National Center for Disaster Preparedness at Columbia University and an expert on U.S. readiness for pandemics. “The infectivity of the virus, people following these rules, containment—you don’t really know what you’re dealing with.”Southern Tourist Hotspot Terrified of Post-Lockdown ExplosionStill, Redlener said, it’s too soon to reopen states without enough tests and contact-tracing to keep track of a resurgence of infections. “It’s not responsible of governors to rush into a return to business as usual, even if it’s relatively slow,“ he said. “This is a serious risk. We’re playing with fire.”Tambe, who co-created the models with Majumder and their team, acknowledged they may not map precisely onto reality. Still, he questioned whether the other factors model detractors cited—more diligent hand-washing and mask-wearing—would improve broadly enough in the weeks ahead to have an impact comparable to government orders. And he asserted that the purpose of the simulations was less to provide flawless predictions than to inform elected leaders and health officials as they consider methods to revive sedated economies.“We’re not saying this is the answer,” he said, acknowledging that a permanent lockdown was impracticable. “It’s one in the arsenal of tools that policymakers may employ.”When presented with doubts about the benefits of projecting pandemic death, Ayer—the Georgia Tech modeler—responded by quoting British statistician George E. P. Box, who famously said: “All models are wrong, but some are useful.” In an absence of sufficient data to look back on—a real problem for a pandemic experts are still learning about every day—no model will be perfect, Ayer said. But a careful and meticulous one is a much better alternative for policy-makers to “having no models and relying on gut feeling.”The idea, Ayer added, is to look at the dozens of models currently available and see where the similarities lie, what the trends are, and what is likely to happen over time, as opposed to focusing on specific numbers.“A lot of experts have said that lifting restrictions too soon would lead to a second wave, and that’s what a lot of the research has shown,” said Ayer. “All of the modelers are using the best available evidence out there, but our understanding of the disease is evolving over time.”Or as Majumder put it, “A model is only as good as the assumptions we put into it, and when we have a novel pandemic, our knowledge is changing every second.”The models provided for this story were created by Jackson A. Killian, a Ph.D. student at Harvard’s John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences; Marie Charpignon, a Ph.D. student at MIT's Institute for Data, Systems, and Society; Bryan Wilder, a Ph.D. student at Harvard’s John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences; Andrew Perrault, a Postdoctoral researcher at Harvard’s Center for Research on Computation and Society; Milind Tambe, Gordon McKay Professor of Computer Science and Director of Harvard’s Center for Research on Computation and Society; and Maimuna S. Majumder, faculty at the Computational Health Informatics Program (CHIP) based out of Boston Children's Hospital and Harvard Medical School.Read more at The Daily Beast.Got a tip? Send it to The Daily Beast hereGet our top stories in your inbox every day. Sign up now!Daily Beast Membership: Beast Inside goes deeper on the stories that matter to you. Learn more.




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Tuesday, April 28, 2020

FOX NEWS: Streamed films eligible for Oscars -- but only for this year


Streamed films eligible for Oscars -- but only for this year



Due to how the coronavirus pandemic has affected the movie industry, the Academy of Motion Pictures Arts and Sciences is changing its criteria for awards -- but only for this year. 

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FOX NEWS: Joe Manganiello shaves his beard, fans think he looks almost unrecognizable: ‘Totally doesn't look like him’


Joe Manganiello shaves his beard, fans think he looks almost unrecognizable: ‘Totally doesn't look like him’



Joe Manganiello is making a style change amid the coronavirus quarantine.

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FOX NEWS: Fox News Flash top entertainment headlines for April 28


Fox News Flash top entertainment headlines for April 28



Fox News Flash top entertainment and celebrity headlines are here. Check out what's clicking today in entertainment.

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FOX NEWS: Netflix picks up social distancing-themed anthology series to be filmed remotely


Netflix picks up social distancing-themed anthology series to be filmed remotely



Netflix has picked up “Social Distance,” a new anthology series from “Orange is the New Black” production team. The show, produced remotely, will focus on the “new, bizarre, bewildering reality we are all experiencing” in the wake of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, the producers said in a statement.

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FOX NEWS: Zooey Deschanel shares sweet birthday post to boyfriend Jonathan Scott: ‘You are one of a kind wonderful’


Zooey Deschanel shares sweet birthday post to boyfriend Jonathan Scott: ‘You are one of a kind wonderful’



 Zooey Deschanel took to Instagram on Tuesday to share an adorable snap in honor of her boyfriend, HGTV star Johnathan Scott’s 42nd birthday.

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FOX NEWS: Dax Shepard explains why he's OK if his daughters try certain psychedelic drugs when they’re older


Dax Shepard explains why he's OK if his daughters try certain psychedelic drugs when they’re older



Dax Shepard is a different breed of dad.

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Sanders Supporters Condemn Former Campaign Aides’ New Super PAC Supporting Biden

Jeff Weaver wants progressives to vote for Joe Biden, but some Bernie Sanders supporters are not having it.

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Will I Be Able To See A Dentist Before A Coronavirus Vaccine Is Available?

If you received an email from your dentist in late March explaining that they will only be available for emergency visits, you are not alone. What does this mean going forward for dental care during the coronavirus pandemic?

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Buy Now And Save: Here’s Another Way To Get Great Deals On Hotels For Post COVID-19 Travel

We Travel Forward aggregates deals from hotels and other sites that can help you save on post COVID-19 travel.

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Can Lava Kill The Coronavirus? An Investigation

I was recently asked, via email, if lava can kill the new coronavirus. It can, but there's a good reason why no-one is using it in the fight against the ongoing pandemic: nothing else would survive the encounter with molten rock either.

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Uber's CTO Steps Down, Company Reportedly Considering Laying Off 20% Of Workforce

On April 16, the company withdrew its 2020 guidance for gross bookings, adjusted net revenue and adjusted EBITDA.

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The 17 Best Bourbons To Sip During The Virtual ‘Kentucky Derby: Triple Crown Showdown’

Derby Day may have been postponed to September 5. But on May 2, Churchill Downs will be “hosting” a first-of-its-kind algorithm-based virtual race, featuring all 13 Triple Crown winners. Here are some stellar bourbons to drink while you tune in.

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Australia rejects Chinese 'economic coercion' threat amid planned coronavirus probe

Australia rejects Chinese 'economic coercion' threat amid planned coronavirus probeAustralian Foreign Minister Marise Payne has cautioned China against attempts at "economic coercion" as Australia pushes for an investigation into the coronavirus pandemic that China opposes. Chinese ambassador to Australia, Cheng Jingye, said in a newspaper interview on Monday the "Chinese public" could avoid Australian products and universities. Australia last week called for all members of the World Health Organization (WHO) to support an independent review into the origins and spread of the coronavirus, and is lobbying world leaders.




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Erdogan defends Turkey religious chief's anti-gay sermon

Erdogan defends Turkey religious chief's anti-gay sermonTurkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Monday defended a top religious official who claimed homosexuality caused diseases, corrupted people and was condemned in Islamic teaching. Ali Erbas, head of a state-funded agency called the Diyanet, which runs mosques and appoints imams, also claimed during his weekly sermon that homosexuality caused HIV. The Ankara bar association of lawyers accused him of inciting hatred against gay people while ignoring child abuse and misogyny.




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Editorial: Joe Biden needs competence — not sizzle — from his vice presidential running mate

Editorial: Joe Biden needs competence — not sizzle — from his vice presidential running mate'Exciting' vice presidential selections have sometimes been a disaster.




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Trump news: President denies responsibility for people drinking bleach to fight coronavirus as tweetstorm branded ‘indecent and obscene’

Trump news: President denies responsibility for people drinking bleach to fight coronavirus as tweetstorm branded ‘indecent and obscene’As the number of US coronavirus cases climbs above 1 million and the nation's death toll surpasses deaths from the Vietnam War, Donald Trump claims the country is "very close" to testing 5 million people daily, as he continues to pressure states and local governments to begin "reopening" as the economy flounders.The president also suggested during a briefing on Tuesday that states with financial deficits could be forced to give undocumented people in custody over to federal immigration authorities if they want financial relief in the wake of the public health crisis.




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A serious new coronavirus-related condition may be emerging in children, with UK doctors reporting growing numbers requiring intensive care

A serious new coronavirus-related condition may be emerging in children, with UK doctors reporting growing numbers requiring intensive careThere is 'growing concern' that a serious new coronavirus-related condition may be emerging in children.




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El Salvador president authorizes the use of 'lethal force' against gang members

El Salvador president authorizes the use of 'lethal force' against gang membersEl Salvador President Nayib Bukele on Sunday authorized the use of "lethal force" by police and military against gang members to crack down on heightened violence amid the coronavirus pandemic.




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Trump: Federal govt. shouldn't rescue states and cities struggling under pandemic

Trump: Federal govt. shouldn't rescue states and cities struggling under pandemicState and local governments have pressed for the government to rescue them from what is quickly becoming a fiscal catastrophe.




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Bill Gates Dismisses Chinese Coronavirus Coverup: ‘It’s Not Even Time for That Discussion’

Bill Gates Dismisses Chinese Coronavirus Coverup: ‘It’s Not Even Time for That Discussion’Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates called allegations that China cost the world valuable time by covering up the origins of the Wuhan coronavirus a “distraction” in an interview Sunday, adding that “China did a lot of things right at the beginning.”Speaking to CNN’s Fareed Zakaria on Sunday, Gates pushed back on criticism of Beijing’s initial response, saying “I don’t think that’s a timely thing, because it doesn’t affect how we act today.”“It’s not time to talk about that, this is the time to take the great science we have, the fact that we’re in this together, fix testing, treatments, and get that vaccine, and minimize the trillions of dollars and many things that you can’t even dimensionalize in economic terms that are awful, about the situation that we’re in,” Gates stated. “So that’s a distraction, I think there’s a lot of incorrect and unfair things said, but it’s not even time for that discussion.”> The challenges of fighting Covid-19 in developing countries, how China and the WHO have handled this crisis, and what to make of wild coronavirus conspiracy theories. Pt. 3 of my GPS interview w/ @BillGates: pic.twitter.com/QJJuAR52SM> > -- Fareed Zakaria (@FareedZakaria) April 26, 2020A detailed timeline of Beijing’s response to the virus’s origins in Wuhan shows that the government gagged the spread of information about the virus for weeks after it had first been noticed, with health officials being warned privately of “a major public health event” nearly a week before the public was alerted to the threat.U.S. intelligence believes that China purposefully misled the global community on the extent of its coronavirus outbreak, with one study finding that the government could have prevented 95 percent of coronavirus infections if it had acted sooner to stem the initial outbreak. Last week, the head of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention admitted to state media that the government “knew there must be human-to-human transmission” of the novel virus, despite his organization saying January 15 that “the risk of sustained human-to-human transmission is low.”When asked about the World Health Organization’s culpability on Sunday, Gates said “basically no,” pushing back on President Trump’s claim that the organization is “very China-centric.”“In the retrospective, we’ll see things the WHO could have done better, just like every actor in this whole picture, but the WHO has a strong connection with one country. That country is the United States,” Gates stated. He went on to call the WHO a “phenomenal organization that we’re more dependent on today, to drive things, than we ever have been.”




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Prague's mayor, a critic of Russia, is under police protection after a magazine alleged a Russian assassin had entered the country to kill him

Prague's mayor, a critic of Russia, is under police protection after a magazine alleged a Russian assassin had entered the country to kill himThe report hasn't been confirmed by Czech authorities, and Russian leader Vladimir Putin's spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said the report was "fake."




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South Korean official says Kim Jong Un may be avoiding public due to 'coronavirus concerns'

South Korean official says Kim Jong Un may be avoiding public due to 'coronavirus concerns'South Korean Unification Minister Kim Yeon-chul said Kim's absence was not "particularly unusual" in the context of the coronavirus pandemic.




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Germany's coronavirus lead said the country's restrictions worked so well that people are now angry because they think the government overreacted

Germany's coronavirus lead said the country's restrictions worked so well that people are now angry because they think the government overreactedChristian Drosten worries the country's success at fighting the coronavirus will cause complacency, which could fuel a second wave of infections.




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Monday, April 27, 2020

Oil: Revenge Of The Negabarrels

The pandemic-caused crash in world oil price was set up when the US boosted supply while failing to suppress more-efficient use. America’s health, security, equity, and prosperity would be better served by letting markets work and winners win, so we get off oil on purpose, not by repeated accident.

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Officials Say Limits on Virus Relief Funds for States Are Too Tight


By BY CARL HULSE from NYT U.S. https://ift.tt/2xeqKHH

U.S. Governors Move Ahead With Reopening, Despite Health Worries


By BY JACK HEALY, MANNY FERNANDEZ AND PETER BAKER from NYT U.S. https://ift.tt/3eXCu2o

Pelosi throws full support behind Joe Biden

Democrat House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has endorsed Joe Biden in his bid for the presidency in the 2020 election. Ms Pelosi referenced the former vice president’s work during the 2010 health care overhaul and influence in the economic recovery after the 2008 financial crisis as indications of his propensity to leadership.

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What easing restrictions mean for you

NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian delivered good news on Tuesday morning with the easing of social restrictions following another day with single digit infections of COVID-19.

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Economic virus shock outspeeds depression

The economic shock of coronavirus in Australia has smashed jobs and businesses faster than the Great Depression.

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Bad Mexican spawns $200m portfolio

You can pay the price for a dodgy meal, but one started this young mogul’s empire. And he’s got some stern advice for those wanting to do the same.

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NC-REC-COVID-STRAP–HP

NC-REC-COVID-STRAP--HP

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FOX NEWS: Venezuela's Maduro hires Chavez cousin, drug kingpin for powerful oil industry roles


Venezuela's Maduro hires Chavez cousin, drug kingpin for powerful oil industry roles



President Nicolás Maduro on Monday named a powerful ally sanctioned by the U.S. as a drug kingpin, along with a cousin of the late socialist leader Hugo Chávez, to revamp Venezuela’s oil industry amid massive gasoline shortages.

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FOX NEWS: Power play: US keeps pressure on Iran


Power play: US keeps pressure on Iran



Secretary of State Mike Pompeo prepares to make argument claiming the U.S. is still part of the 2015 nuclear deal despite President Trump pulling out of it; Rich Edson reports.

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FOX NEWS: Sen. Lindsey Graham on growing concerns over China's transparency on coronavirus pandemic


Sen. Lindsey Graham on growing concerns over China's transparency on coronavirus pandemic



A combination of gross negligence and willful deception by the Chinese Communist Party led to the COVID-19 crisis, says South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham, Republican member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.

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Market Extra: Here’s why oil majors may struggle to find bargains in the shale patch

Oil prices are a wild-card, says Bryant Dieffenbacher, a high-yield credit analyst at Franklin Templeton, about why hard-hit energy industry likely won’t see a wave of consolidation.


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